Happy New year and welcome to a new series titled Macro Monday. As we kick off 2026, I hope everyone had a prosperous 2025 and a safe holiday season. Well, 2025 was a volatile year with numerous opportunities across the market. This will be a high-level recap of some of those economic events that shaped... Continue Reading →

I was busy with analysis today and therefore took one opportunity. This one opportunity was Kroger short on weak guidance. Earnings was in-line, but weak forward guidance has been the reason for the sell off in many names. I got short at $62.69 with my stop/exit over $63.32. I held the full size short and... Continue Reading →

November 20th was a recent low in all three major indexes. All three indexes have rallied off their lows. Dow rose about 4.75% SPX rallied 5% Nasdaq rallied roughly 7.5% Observations: The indexes are in no man's land. If I was not already positioned after the pullback lows of the 20th, I would not be... Continue Reading →

November continued with additional sector rotation as traders left technology and discretionary and fed into healthcare. Technology was very strong the last week of November despite the AI-led sell off earlier in the month. Tech continued to beat expectations, yet markets sold off indicating even higher expectations. Forward guidance was not as strong as anticipated... Continue Reading →

Volatility was the theme of the day—front and center. The indexes chopped around in a wide consolidation range, and if your game plan hinged on index direction, hopefully you navigated it well.. Here are todays markets: We did get a batch of strong earnings this morning, and that sparked some impressive bullish action in a... Continue Reading →

This week we saw more rotation out of Technology, consumer cyclical/discretionary, and energy funds flowing into communication and healthcare. Friday was a rally day across the board risk-on, still, healthcare received the bulk of the inflows with LLY hitting the $1 trillion milestone on the back of their oral GLP-1 Longer term, 1-month performance we... Continue Reading →

I will be publishing models and thesis on retail stocks based on this backdrop... in future Posts. Target recently announced a new strategy called "10-4" Macy's has implemented an approach called "Genuine Hospitality" Why did they implement these strategies? Do they believe that upgrading their customer experience will re-invigorate growth? Many other companies have implemented... Continue Reading →

Government shutdown didnt phase this market, we closed against at or near highs. Premarket Ideas All the premarket ideas werent very in-play. NKE RPM AYI CAG CALM ADP employment numbers Month over Month showed a decrease of 32,000 whereas consensus was 50,000, prior month revised to 54,000. Still this had zero impact on the market.... Continue Reading →

Futures and Commodities Dow futures (/YM) -199 or -0.43% SPX futures (/ES) -31.50 or -0.47% Nasdaq Futures (/NQ) -128.75 or -0.52% Peak-to-trough we saw declines of 0.75 to 1.0% and now we're trading higher off the lows from about 3am shutdown. Followed up with some commodities: Gold futures (/GC)up 37.30 or 0.97% Bitcoin (/BTC) rallying... Continue Reading →

Indexes finished in the green today after a morning of choppiness. Dow +0.18% SP500 +0.41% NSDQ +0.30% Trading Economics The charts above show very minimal impact of the Cases-Shiller index and the Consumer Confidence release. Traders and investors either expected numbers roughly in-line with forecasts or they sat out of the markets due to uncertainty.... Continue Reading →